by Professor » Tue Jan 14, 2014 12:58 pm
But, here's the question (again, assuming that the "rigging" in question applies to all players, not just a few):
If it's just as likely that EVERYONE is getting trips on every play, then why wouldn't you fold with trips?
I mean, let's say that getting a single pair in a 5-card hand is 42.3%. Getting trips is 2.11%. If you have a pair, and are playing with 2 other people, chances are good (don't know how the calculate, exactly) that someone else has a better pair or higher hand. This means that, statistically, you should fold. But, if you have trips, then chances are REALLY good that you have a better hand than anyone, so you stay in.
Now, you're playing online. Assuming they've "rigged" it so that everyone gets good hands, odds of getting a pair are 80%, and getting trips is 20%. No longer is having trips such a "sure" bet. So, why don't you fold?
Seems like it'd be pretty easy to figure out the odds. Just log everyone's hands for a few hundred deals, then calculate the probabilities. In a single night of gambling, you should be able to see if the odds are the same as physical-card poker.