https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the ... ined-more/With Carson imploding right before us, what this data says to me is that there is one Republican candidate who Team Clinton should be afraid of and his name is Marco Rubio. With Bush in shambles, he is quickly becoming the establishment favorite. Clinton is very popular among Democrats but her favorability is underwater among the electorate as a whole. Rubio, meanwhile, has to find a way to get through the crazy Republican primary, but has a positive net favorability for now among all voters.
A few thoughts:
*Clinton beats Rubio in most head-to-head polls I've seen so far, but never with 50% and Rubio still has low name recognition compared to her.
*Is it possible for Rubio to win the nomination without taking positions that will hurt his net favorability among the entire electorate?
*Clinton has doubled down on her insinuations that Bernie Sanders is sexist, which is incredibly stupid. She's practically got the nomination in the bag and shouldn't be afraid of Sanders right now, so these type of character attack on him only serve to alienate his very dedicated followers whose votes she will need in the general. On top of that, Sanders, maybe moreso than Obama at this point, has a major appeal among young voters. Regardless of who Clinton is running against and how support amongst youngs splits in the matchup, I predict that youngs will feel a serious lack of motivation to vote at all in this general election with Clinton and (Insert Republican) as their two options, so making it personal against Sanders right now doesn't bode well when she needs Bernie's help getting them out to vote next November. I can't make sense of what she's thinking here.
*I have a friend in Texas who is a professional political operative and a strong Clinton supporter. He agrees that Rubio is the biggest threat, but when I mentioned to him that he could siphon off Latino votes, he told me they need to make sure everyone knows Rubio isn't Mexican or Dominican or Puerto Rican, but Cuban. I understand what he means, but for anyone even tangentially associated with the Clinton campaign to raise such a point is, IMO, really playing with fire. It also suggests he's thinking Florida is a lost cause for Clinton if Rubio is the candidate.